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First sub-.500 division champ is locked; Saturday decides if Texas can still force a gain

Friday's twin losses left the Rangers and Astros at 79-81 and guaranteed MLB's first full-season division winner without a winning record. Houston can clinch Saturday; Texas turns to Nathan Eovaldi's first start since Aug. 7.

Fort Worth Newsroom

September 26, 20263 min read

MLBFinal
Texas Rangers2
Minnesota Twins10

September 25, 2026

The American League West already knew it was a two-club race. Friday made the history official.

Texas lost 10-2 at Minnesota and Houston fell 6-5 at the Athletics, Yahoo Sports reported, leaving both clubs at 79-81 with two games left. That combination guarantees Major League Baseball's first full-season division champion without a winning record. Before 2026, Yahoo noted, the closest mark was the 2005 Padres at 82-80. Wild-card clubs have finished at or below .500 before. A division winner has not.

The standings tie is not a true share of first place. Houston owns the season-series tiebreaker after going 9-4 against Texas, Heavy Sports and other outlets reiterated Saturday. Matching records on Sunday night still sends the Astros into October. Texas has to finish ahead.

The Saturday clinch board

Sports Illustrated's overnight report laid out the simplest Houston path: an Astros win and a Rangers loss on Saturday would clinch the division before the finale. Even if both clubs win Saturday, Houston would remain a game up with one left and would keep the tiebreaker if Sunday finished even.

Texas needs a gain, not a mirror. Heavy Sports framed the remaining scenarios the same way: a 2-0 Rangers close only works if Houston is no better than 1-1; a 1-1 Texas weekend only works if Houston goes 0-2; an 0-2 finish for Texas ends the chase regardless of Houston's results. There is no one-game playoff for the AL West under the current format.

Wild-card doors are already closed for both clubs. The division is the only October ticket left in the West, and the winner hosts either Cleveland or Chicago in the wild-card round, Sports Illustrated reported.

Eovaldi's first start since August

Into that board walks Nathan Eovaldi, announced Friday night as Saturday's starter against Twins right-hander Bailey Ober. CBS Sports' RotoWire note said it will be Eovaldi's first start since Aug. 7. He returned from right posterior elbow inflammation on Sept. 12 and worked four relief outings (5 ER in 8.2 IP), never throwing more than 46 pitches, per CBS Sports and Sports Illustrated.

Sports Illustrated stressed that Texas skipped a rehab assignment because the calendar did not allow a full starter buildup, then used him as bulk relief. Nobody is projecting seven innings Saturday. The ask is quality innings that keep Minnesota from repeating Friday's early knockout and leave the bullpen a manageable lead to protect.

Eovaldi's 2023 September return after injury produced a rough regular-season finish and a postseason that helped deliver a World Series, Sports Illustrated recalled. Saturday is not October yet. It is the night that decides whether October remains available.

A thinner order behind him

The rotation question sits next to a lineup already missing two middle-order bats. Josh Jung fractured the fifth metacarpal in his right hand on Friday's hit-by-pitch and is not expected for the final two games, MLB Trade Rumors reported, summarizing manager Skip Schumaker's postgame comments to the Dallas Morning News and other outlets.

Joc Pederson remains on the injured list with a left-hand fracture and is working toward possible wild-card availability if Texas wins the division, the same report said.

Those absences do not change the arithmetic. They change who has to produce the runs if Eovaldi keeps the game close enough for the arithmetic to matter.

Saturday in Minnesota is the first of two nights left. Houston can end the race before Sunday. Texas can only answer by winning - and by hoping the Athletics do the same damage to Houston that the Twins did to Texas on Friday.

Sources

Yahoo Sports

Heavy

Sports Illustrated

CBS Sports

mlbtraderumors.com

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